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Saturday, May 21, 2011

Need A Valuable Gold Advice From Experts?

Back in 2002 the editors of Profit Confidential started telling their readers it was time to jump into gold related investments. This gold advice proved to be extremely timely. Yes, back in 2002 we started offering gold advice to our readers and we still do it today. We have been recognized as one of the first investment letters to tell its audience to jump into gold stocks, very early in the gold bull market. The gold advice we provided resulted in many stocks we follow rising in price 100% or more in short periods of time. Today, you can regularly find gold advice in Profit Confidential. Each time gold prices moved higher, we told our readers to buy more gold related investments. See what we have to say about gold's future dally in Profit Confidential.

My stock market advice now is not to take too much action. While the market is not overvalued by any means, it is fairly valued and a good portion of the broader market is trading right at the 52-week high. So, if you like to buy low and sell high like I do, this makes that investment strategy more difficult. You have to have a lot of patience and a lot of self control to wait for only the most attractive opportunities to bet on.

One area of the stock market that continues to be the most attractive for speculators in micro-cap stocks is mining. I keep harping on the subject. There are great opportunities in junior mining stocks right now, even with the spot price of gold and silver trading at record highs. Like I've written before, the key drivers of mining shares are new discoveries and the underlying spot price of the precious metal. It's a tough business to be a speculator in this industry, but, then again, it isn't easy making money in other sectors either.

When you're in a rising commodity price cycle, not surprisingly it pays to allocate more of your portfolio to this area. A lot of individual investors have traditionally focused on the technology sector to find growth, but this isn't necessary in the current environment. With gold and silver prices trading where they are now, even the fastest growing micro-cap technology company can't generate the same kind of earnings growth compared to a mining company with increasing production. The business model is just that good in the resource sector right now.

History suggests that commodity price cycles always end, so, in a sense, speculators have to milk the cow while it lasts. But, I find it difficult to imagine a big retreat in precious metal prices in the near and medium terms. Developed economies are still in recovery mode and, with the huge increase in global money supply, the argument against inflation is pretty thin.

Even oil and gas stocks are seeing a marked improvement in their trading action, and natural gas is still in the doldrums. With declining production on a global basis, I also find it difficult to imagine WTI oil any lower than $85.00 a barrel.

The action in the broader market is stronger than most people think. Investors want to be buyers of stocks because there is no other place to invest with the same kind of near-term upside. To me, 1,500 on the S&P 500 seems very reasonable.

This is the best gold advice I can give.


Gold & silver: buy at every reasonable correction Read more: http://www.articlesbase.com/investing-articles/gold-silver-buy-at-every-reasonable-corre

Gold & silver: buy at every reasonable correction


Gold & Silver

Investors don't know what to do with commodities. Traders are asking, "is it too late?" and "have we gone too high?" The question, of course, isn't easy to answer, but the simple reality is that there won't be too high of prices until the dollar becomes too low.

Is this a secular long term top in gold and silver? We do not believe so. We are witnessing a powerful up move in gold and especially silver, where a healthy correction would be normal. There is a flight to quality away from fiat currency namely U.S. dollars. If the dollar continues to lose value, our holdings of precious metals and mining stocks will prove to be a prudent decision

In light of recent events around the world, the Fed has remained incredibly lax in its policy to push interest rates and the dollar to zero. Most every central bank has tightened, is expected to tighten, or must tighten (think China) to keep their currencies from plunging to zero.

The virtues of gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) are being addressed far and wide. The driving forces behind silver's price come from investors, industrial demands and a global shortage. The world simply is using more silver than the mines produce and new silver discoveries are becoming difficult to find. These factors are becoming truisms for public consumption. A parabolic rise has formed in silver as gold advances on to our measured target of $1600.

Please note that at these times of extreme optimism volatile pullbacks become more prevalent. Parabolic rises must be approached with caution. Silver has rallied moving exponentially while gold is still moving linear.

There will be unavoidable pullbacks in silver's secular uptrend and it would not be wise initiating long positions at these extremely overbought levels. Silver has a very high probability of shaking out investors as pullbacks follow overbought conditions. Silver is reaching extremely risky levels, yet miners are still poised to breakout. One of the reasons for such volatile action in the white metal is the large short position in silver taken by major financial institutions such as JP Morgan and HSBC, which are the subject of a new lawsuit that charges them with price manipulation of the silver market.

Conclusion: From my experience it is prudent to wait for technical corrections before getting aggressive with any commodity. We firmly believe that any corrections on the way up will represent more reasonable entry points on this uptrend. Always remember that parabolic rises can encounter severe downturns particularly in silver which tends to be volatile. Let's wait for long term support and a shakeout to reinitiate our short term positions.

We feel a pullback may be in order as the recycling of scrap increases. I don't expect it to last very long. Above all do not even think of shorting silver. I reiterate buy on dips as the price of silver is capable of doubling in the next twenty four months. I do not expect the silver to gold ratio to drop below 30:1 in the short term.

"The real measure of your wealth is how much you'd be worth if you lost all your money"